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Cassaon-casino.com NBA
Basketball Betting portal wants to give you the
very best betting experience on the Internet. With the popularity
of the World Wide Web it is getting harder and harder to find quality
NBA betting information all in one space. At Cassaon-casino.com
we like to think we have accomplished the task of compiling all
the NBA basketball betting info a bettor could need.
These NBA sportsbooks offer you a number of perks
to get you to move your business offshore this NBA season.
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Betting
Basketball
Let's face it, there are not many more exciting sports moments than
a close final in basketball. While fun for the casual fan, this
can certainly be nerve-wracking for those individuals who have money
on the line. This is the double-edged sword of betting basketball.
The highs of winning are astronomical, while losing a bet on a last
second shot can have you feeling like the lowest member of the food
chain.
While
some outcomes come down to a little luck, most bettors can make
some solid winnings if they do their homework. Staying in touch
with the game is essential to successful basketball betting.
This is easier said than done. So many different things contribute
to performances. Free agency, inexperience, injuries. Teams can
go into slumps or go on streaks. They can fade when on the road.
They can be strong when they have had a few dates at home. If you
are into basketball betting, you had better keep yourself informed
if you would like to be successful.Betting
basketball can be fairly lucrative if you treat it accordingly.
As with anything else, you must put a little bit of effort to get
a return. To give yourself the best possible edge, get the best
information possible. While it is possible to do this on your own,
in the interest of time, it makes sense to solicit some outside
help with your basketball betting.
Internet
Wagering
The advent of the internet and offshore sportsbooks has made the
internet wagering market very competitive. There are now hundreds
of offshore sportsbooks, in addition to local bookies, and licensed
Las Vegas books that
takesports bets. What does this mean for the serious player who
are internet sports wagering? Quite simply this is a huge advantage
having all these various sports wagering outlets available to the
player including wagering on the Internet.
10
years ago players had fewer betting options. If you didn't live
in Las Vegas you had to place your bets with an illegal local bookie.
Besides this process being highly illegal, most local bookies charged
more than the -110 vig just to take your action. Because of lack
of local competition as well as the legal ramifications one could
encounter through the process, inflation was comprehensible to players.
Today
the internet sports wagering market is the same, same teams, same
odds, same sports, but the difference is the price on the odds and
point spreads. Thesedays, offshore books offer such perks as bonuses,
free ½ points, and reduced juice. Thanks to internet wagering
the days of -120 vig on sides is ancient history.
Much
like the stock market, when wagering on the Internet you are trying
to buy low and sell high. That is getting your wager down before
the line moves against you, as well as not bet into stale numbers.
Smart bettors will have access to internet sportsbooks that post
there opening lines before everyone else. There are only a few select
books that are "price setters" while most other books
that offer internet wagering are known as "price followers".
Two of the price setters are 5 Dimes and Pinnacle Sports, who are
2 of the internet books we advise all of our members to have funded
at all times. Having accounts at these 2 internet wageringparlors
will guarantee you will always be able to get down on all opening
numbers and not miss out or "buy high" as the stock guys
would call it.
Betting
On Sports
Sports Wagering - Money Management For The Average Bettor
Although
much has been written on “money management”,
most of these ideas focus on larger players with $100,000+ bankrolls.
Before
you decide what your bankroll is or what risks are acceptable, you
first need to make a serious evaluation: what is your goal? Is your
emphasis recreational - do you bet on games to add a little excitement
to your favorite sport, while hoping towin some extra cash? Or are
you an aspiring sharp who hopes to move up to the big leagues one
day? Depending on your objective, there are very different styles
of risk management that should apply.
The
bad news first… No one likes to think about worst-case scenarios,
but this is where any bettor (recreational OR professional) must
start. For recreational players, think in terms of a single sports
season. How much are you comfortable losing during the course of
the season? Naturally the goal of any bettor is not to lose this
amount – you’d obviously rather win this plus interest,
but being realistic at the beginning will make your life simpler
if you hit a nasty losing streak.
Assume
Joe Public decides he’s willing to lose up to $1,000 during
the entirebaseball season. Next he must ask himself; what is the
most Joe can bet and still be playing at the end of the season?
Joe can always bet less, but he needs a firm ceiling on the most
he should ever bet on any game during the season. The more games
he wants to play, the less he should bet. A quick way to find out
the ceiling is to guess how many games you will bet during the season
and divide the bankroll by the square-root.
For
example, if you were going to bet 100 games, the square root is
10, so Joe could risk as much as $100 per MLB game ($1,000/10).
This is not to say he should risk $100 every game, but this is the
most that he should ever consider betting on a single play. Ignoring
vigorish, a player has about a 1/40 chance of being down more than
$1,000 after making a hundred, $100 bets. As a recreational player,
you can almost ignore the vig at a reduced juice sports book like
Pinnacle Sports. At Pinnacle Sportsbook we use an 8-cent line in
MLB, so Joe Public would only pay about $200 in vigorish for the
entire season compared to $500 at a traditional bookie using a 20-cent
line.
The
needs of aspiring sharp players are very different. Joe Public wants
action and hopes to win, whereas most sharps could care less about
the action and bet to “beat the man” – some for
money, others for the excitement of outsmarting the bookmaker. The
above strategy won’t work for someone trying to win long-term
although it will keep you out of trouble.
If
you’re an aspiring sharp, you already know what your bankroll
is (the amount you are prepared to lose before you would quit betting).
The next question to ask is how much should you risk per play? The
answer is: it depends.
The
number one mistake gamblers make is overestimating their advantage.
Conventional wisdom suggests never risking more than 1-3% of your
bankroll on a single play. This is good advice if you are betting
the NFL/NBA/MLB for example. The information out
there and the volume of betting make these markets deadly accurate
(unless you are playing into opening numbers early).
Instead
of firing bombs on these sports, a mid-sized player (with a bankroll
from$1,000-$50,000) would be better off price-shopping and promotion
hustling than handicapping these giants. If you hit the bonuses,
free half-points and stale numbers, you can almost guarantee a year-end
profit without picking a single game.
Another
mistake bettors make is being timid when hitting small markets.
Whereas 1-3% risked might be a good rule for pro sports, the rule
for props and niche markets should be “How much will they
take?” If you analyze in depth a prop or obscure market and
think you have a 10% edge, there’s a good chance you probably
do.
Similarly,
college sports and areas with no large following provide great opportunities
as long as you become an expert in that particular area. If you;re
an expert on Portugal Liga TMN basketball or a Winter sports specialist
with a strong opinion on Saturday’s Men’s 1000m final
in short track skating at the Olympics (both available now for Internet
betting at Pinnacle Sports), your estimates of high advantages could
be correct and justify 5% or higher plays.
Normally
wewould give you a run down of the week’s sharp moves at this
point in the column but after receiving some great questions from
readers I thought it would be a good idea to share my answers in
this column.
Chris
wrote:
My question for you regards the following of "Sharp" or
"Wise Guy" action. I have noticed that they seem to do
very well. My question is: Can I win by simply following their plays?
Simon:
To answer your question, there is no guarantee that you’ll
win by simply following sharps, but it can certainly give you a
better chance to be a winner in the long run if you;
1.
Make the same plays as the sharps.
2. Get the same number that they did when you place your wager;
3. Manage your money properly.
That
being said, it’s usually tough to get the same number as the
sharps unless the public opposes them or you have a local out with
consistently stale numbers. Money management is also extremely important
– we have many players at Pinnacle Sportsbetting who win more
than half their plays, but lose money long-term due to poor money
management.
Dave
wrote:
What is the real win % of sharps? Also, do the sharps believe in
playing high volume or being selective?
Simon:
Knowing what percent of bets a sharp wins will not tell you much
– a player could easily win 55% of the time in baseball and
still be a long-term loser. Alternatively, they could win 15% of
the time and be a winner depending on the odds and the prices they
play.
Pinnacle
Sports betting when evaluating players and handicappers looks at
two things: their win/loss record and whether they consistently
get the best of the number (the market moves agree with their selections).
A handicapper who is 55-45 on the year, but is always on the right
side of line moves is far more dangerous than a capper at 15-5 with
no market agreement.
Despite
what many handicappers claim, on major league sports no one person
ever consistently holds more than 5-6% long-term, although syndicates
can do slightly better than this. Only a small fraction of players
are sharp and even they do not win every year.
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